エピソード

  • "The Internet? Bah!": Echoes of Early Skepticism
    2025/01/13

    Early internet skepticism stemmed from a variety of factors, including concerns about its practicality, accessibility, and impact on society. Here's a summary of some key points:

    Clifford Stoll, a prominent internet skeptic, famously argued in Newsweek that the internet wouldn't replace established institutions like newspapers, teachers, and salespeople. He viewed the internet as an "unedited wasteland" of information, difficult to navigate and lacking in reliable sources. Stoll also expressed concerns about the internet's potential to isolate people, replacing real-world interactions with virtual substitutes.

    Usability Concerns: In the 1990s, the internet was still a relatively new and unfamiliar technology for many. Its text-based interfaces and slow connection speeds made it difficult to use.

    Fear of Spam and Security Risks: Early internet users worried about spam, computer viruses, and the potential for fraud and identity theft. Concerns about the security of personal information shared online contributed to skepticism.

    Doubts About Mass Adoption: Some experts, like Waring Partridge, doubted the internet's ability to achieve widespread adoption. They believed retraining millions of people to use the internet would be a significant obstacle.

    Underestimating Potential: Many, like comedian Marc Maron, dismissed the internet as "hype", failing to see its potential beyond a limited scope. They saw computers primarily as toys rather than essential tools for communication and information access.

    These skeptics, although ultimately proven wrong in many ways, raised valid concerns about the internet's early limitations. Their perspectives highlight the challenges of predicting the impact of emerging technologies, particularly before they reach maturity and widespread adoption.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    19 分
  • Paper Promises: The Birth of Fiat and the Fall of Trust
    2025/01/12

    When paper money was introduced in liberal democracies in the 18th century, there was strong concern among formitable thinkers like Bruke, Hume, Jefferson, and others, who feared that the adoption of fiat currency would undermine the moral and economic fabric of society. This podcast dives into the historical debates surrounding the introduction of paper money, exploring how these intellectuals warned of inflation, financial instability, and the erosion of trust in monetary systems. We’ll examine their arguments, the political and economic contexts of the time, and how their predictions align—or conflict—with the realities of modern fiat economies.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    20 分
  • Henry Ford's Bitcoin Prophecy
    2025/01/06

    Henry Ford, the founder of Ford Motor Company, proposed a radical idea in 1921: replacing the gold-backed currency system with one based on "energy currency." He believed that gold was a source of conflict and that a currency tied to a nation's natural resources, like the energy produced by the Muscle Shoals hydroelectric plant in Alabama, would lead to greater global stability and peace. He argued that this system would break the control of international bankers and create a more equitable distribution of wealth.

    Though Ford's idea did not gain traction at the time, it foreshadowed the emergence of Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency that relies on energy-intensive mining processes to create new units. Bitcoin, like Ford’s vision, is decentralized and derives its value from the energy expended in its creation. While there are practical challenges to implementing energy-backed currencies, Bitcoin's existence serves as a modern manifestation of Ford's century-old idea and prompts a reevaluation of traditional financial systems.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    13 分
  • Paper Gold: An Unstable System on The Precipice of Peril
    2025/01/06

    This podcast episode will explore the differences between physical gold and paper gold, and the risks associated with investing in paper gold. Paper gold refers to investments that give investors exposure to gold without requiring them to purchase the physical asset, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, and futures contracts. The problem with paper gold is that there is far more of it in existence than physical gold to back it. The sources estimate that paper gold trading volume in 2011 was 10 times the total amount of physical gold mined in history. This creates a risk that, during a financial crisis, the demand for physical gold could outstrip supply, leading to a collapse in the paper gold market. Some investors are choosing to buy physical gold to mitigate this risk, but this comes with its own set of challenges, such as storage and security. The podcast will discuss strategies for investing in both physical and paper gold and how investors can protect themselves from the risks of a paper gold crisis.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    13 分
  • Bitcoin's Big Year: Halving, Highs, and a Presidential Push!
    2024/12/30

    This podcast discusses recent events in the cryptocurrency world, starting with the launch of Bitcoin ETFs and the potential for tokenized securities. The host highlights the SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs and their significant trading volume, signaling a major step for the industry. The conversation then shifts to other notable events, including Strike's expansion into Africa, Ethereum's upcoming upgrade, and Bitcoin's record highs. Regulatory developments are also discussed, such as Genesis Global Capital's settlement for unregistered securities offerings and the passing of a crypto bill in the House of Representatives. The podcast also covers various news items, including a Bitcoin mining project in Finland using recycled heat, the repayment plan for the collapsed FTX exchange, and Ledger's controversial seed phrase recovery service. Finally, the podcast concludes with the surprising news of Donald Trump winning the 2024 US election and his pro-crypto stance, leading to Bitcoin surpassing $75,000 and the potential creation of a Department of Government Efficiency focused on cryptocurrency.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    17 分
  • Bitcoin and Black Swans: How Bitcoin Critics Fail at Scientific Inquiry
    2024/12/19

    The podcast, "Why Everyone Is Wrong About Crypto," uses a scientific approach to analyze the criticisms of Bitcoin. The author argues that most critics rely on the greater fool theory, which posits that Bitcoin is worthless and only has value because people are willing to buy it at increasingly higher prices. This theory predicts that Bitcoin will eventually crash to zero, yet this prediction has failed to materialize over the 15-year lifespan of Bitcoin. The author points out that this makes the critics’ argument unfalsifiable and therefore unscientific, as they refuse to adjust their theory based on real-world observations. The author urges critics to adopt a more scientific method, incorporating the observed price action into their analysis and considering the possibility that Bitcoin may actually hold value.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    10 分
  • Global Liquidity: The Invisible Tide Driving Markets
    2024/12/18

    Understanding global liquidity, the amount of money circulating in the world economy, is crucial for navigating today's financial markets. Global liquidity significantly influences asset prices, including Bitcoin, traditional stocks, and bonds. One way to gauge global liquidity is by observing the global M2 money supply, which encompasses various forms of money, from cash to time deposits. Bitcoin's price has historically demonstrated a strong correlation with the global M2 money supply, suggesting its potential as an early indicator of liquidity trends. While short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin's price can be attributed to events within the cryptocurrency market, its long-term price movements often reflect broader shifts in global liquidity. Beyond Bitcoin, global liquidity impacts traditional markets as well. The BIS Global Liquidity Indicators highlight the significance of tracking foreign currency credit to assess liquidity trends. Furthermore, economist Michael Howell's analysis of the Global Liquidity Cycle offers valuable insights into the ebb and flow of global liquidity. He predicts a peak in global liquidity around September 2025, but concerns remain about potential declines due to the deleveraging of the European banking system. The impact of global liquidity extends beyond financial markets, influencing economic cycles and potentially exacerbating inequalities between economic winners and losers. Therefore, managing global liquidity effectively is paramount for ensuring a stable and sustainable financial future.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    19 分
  • The Future of Finance: Can We Fix a Broken System?
    2024/12/18

    This podcast explores the stark economic realities facing younger generations, who are struggling to achieve financial stability amidst rising inequality, stagnant wages, and a broken housing market. Millennials and Gen Z are burdened with skyrocketing housing costs, making homeownership a distant dream for many. The podcast delves into the systemic issues driving this wealth gap, particularly the explosive growth of CEO compensation compared to meagre increases in worker pay. This disconnect between executive rewards and worker realities, fuelled by stock-based compensation and a corporate governance system that prioritizes shareholder interests, has contributed to a widening chasm between the rich and the poor. The podcast examines the broader implications of rising inequality and explores potential solutions to create a more equitable and sustainable economic future for all generations.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    10 分