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Propenomix with Adam Lawrence

著者: Adam Lawrence
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  • The UK's Premier Property, Business, Markets & Economics Podcast. With your hosts: Adam Lawrence and Jay Howard. Expert Resident Guests: - Helen Chorley - Piotr Rusinek
    2022
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The UK's Premier Property, Business, Markets & Economics Podcast. With your hosts: Adam Lawrence and Jay Howard. Expert Resident Guests: - Helen Chorley - Piotr Rusinek
2022
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  • Supplement 09 Mar 25 - Tension
    2025/03/26

    ****PLEASE SHARE AND HELP TO SPREAD THE WORD OF PROPENOMIX****

    This week in the ONLY agenda-free UK Property and Macroeconomic roundup:


    The deep dive looks at a couple more reports - The Home Builders’ Federation Q4 pipeline report, and UK Finance’s report on Household Finances from Q4, both published this week.

    We also have, in the Macro section:

    The Halifax House Price Index

    The Bank of England Money and Credit Report - with something to watch out for and be aware of

    The final PMIs for February

    The gilts and swaps - bringing up the rear as always, with some extra commentary around what the Bank of England committee members have been doing and saying this week

    And in the deep dive......

    The Home Builders Federation have the most marginal piece of good news - but planning permission is, of course, only the first piece of the jigsaw.

    UK Finance is similarly somewhat positive - but, the story is the same really. We are coming back from a tough position in general….2023 was a tough old year and 2024 was a year of relatively slow repair, basically!

    What you know at the end is - as ever-present, we will be Keeping Calm and Carrying On throughout 2025 - we SPRING towards the stamp duty deadline and the reintroduction of the 2% band - we need to Keep Calm and Carry On. 3 weeks until the Spring Statement!

    Enjoy

    Workshop tickets: bit.ly/pbw6

    Deal-finding course: bit.ly/sourcingsolved2025

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    28 分
  • Supplement 02 Mar 25 - Meaningful PRS Research!
    2025/03/04

    ****PLEASE SHARE AND HELP TO SPREAD THE WORD OF PROPENOMIX****

    This week in the ONLY agenda-free UK Property and Macroeconomic roundup:


    The deep dive looks at a couple more reports - Zoopla’s efforts for the month which get into flats and houses, and the differences - and I attempt to add some depth, and then a great report from the Nationwide Foundation about the Private Rental Sector - the best I’ve read, bar none.

    We also have, in the Macro section:

    The Nationwide House Price Index

    Confidence - and the return of it, or a couple of green shoots anyway

    The ONS Private Rents and House Prices report

    The gilts and swaps - bringing up the rear as always, with reasonable news.

    And in the deep dive......

    Zoopla’s report on pricing for January that was released in February contains some revelations about the price of flats and how much cheaper they are than houses. We are heading to a world where a house is twice the price of a flat. However - I ask the questions to take it to the next level of detail - are flats much less attractive, comparatively, than they were? As investment propositions, I primarily mean……before you even start on cladding, fire, rocketing service charges…….you get the picture.

    Then the Nationwide Foundation, and their report on “Systemic change” in the PRS - this report asks so many important questions, and whilst I critique with the red pen as usual, I’m full of praise for those even asking these questions. Real progress from an organisation without an agenda, that’s well funded - heartwarming to say the least.

    What you know at the end is - as ever-present, we will be Keeping Calm and Carrying On throughout 2025 - we SPRING towards the stamp duty deadline and the reintroduction of the 2% band - we need to Keep Calm and Carry On (and for our conveyancers to get on with it, if we are buying anything right now!)

    Enjoy

    Workshop tickets: bit.ly/pbw6

    Deal-finding course: bit.ly/sourcingsolved2025

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    57 分
  • Supplement 23 Feb 25 - Inflation back to the REAL target
    2025/02/25

    ****PLEASE SHARE AND HELP TO SPREAD THE WORD OF PROPENOMIX****

    This week in the ONLY agenda-free UK Property and Macroeconomic roundup:


    The deep dive looks at a couple of reports that have been on my hit list for some time. One from the centre, and one from left of centre - firstly, the hotel of mum and dad; then the positive changes in housing circumstances for young people in Britain over the past decade (and my idea of irony on that subject).

    We also have, in the Macro section, in “mega week”:

    The ONS Labour Market Report

    INFLATION - and just how “Back” it is.

    The flash PMIs, of course……

    The gilts and swaps - a week that really could have been worse.

    And in the deep dive......

    The Institute for Fiscal Studies report entitled “Hotel of Mum and Dad” released last month looks specifically at the area of those aged 25-34 “co-living” with Mum and Dad, and how it varies, how it has changed in recent years, and some of the drivers of the changes. I get stuck into it.

    Then the Resolution Foundation, whilst really wanting to write an article about just how hard the younger working families on middle and low incomes have got it, found themselves forced to conclude that the past decade has meant steps forward, rather than steps backward, for this group of the population. I get stuck into that too!

    What you know at the end is - as ever-present, we will be Keeping Calm and Carrying On throughout 2025 - job worries, inflation wobbles, a cratering manufacturing sector and Andrew Bailey’s warnings of weak growth - we need to Keep Calm and Carry On

    Enjoy

    Workshop tickets: bit.ly/pbw6

    Deal-finding course: bit.ly/sourcingsolved2025

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    42 分

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