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  • Jobs, Tariffs, & IPOs
    2025/08/07
    We dig into the latest jobs report that showed a significant decline in new jobs. We’ll also analyze the minimal effect that tariffs have had on inflation and the economy as a whole, and how the Fed can and should react with rate cuts. We’ll finish with a look at the recent run of IPOs, how they could indicate a return of speculative behavior, and why you should be cautious with including IPOs in a sound investment strategy. Key Takeaways [00:16] - Breaking down the latest job report and AI’s impact [08:04] - The tariff effect [14:56] - Recent IPOs indicate a return of speculative behavior in the market View Transcript Links The Tariff Effect: Billions in Revenue but No Economic Earthquake Trump Just Got a Fresh Shot at Bending the Fed to His Will Circle Internet Group Figma Firefly Aerospace Bill Gurley on the Figma IPO Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    27 分
  • Markets Continue to Shrug Off Geopolitical Disruption
    2025/07/31
    Greg and Doug Stokes start this week’s discussion with the European Union and South Korea trade deals. They also look at the massive windfall in profitability from the largest companies in America, which continues to buck the narrative that geopolitical uncertainty is going to push us into a downturn. Then, they explore inflation, housing, and the job market, particularly in light of the growing influence of AI. Key Takeaways [00:16] - New trade deals [03:04] - Meta, Microsoft, and how the business sector continues to shrug off geopolitical disruption [06:34] - Geopolitical implications of technology [11:29] - How the decline in rental income could affect inflation more than tariffs [19:41] - AI is transforming the job market and the economy View Transcript Links Tom Lee: 2Q25 EPS season strong with 83% beating, implying EPS YoY >12% Repeat home sales and leading apartment rent indexes both point to lower shelter inflation ahead Apartment List: The national multifamily vacancy rate ticked up to 7.1% this month Wall Street bull calls for 11% rally in S&P 500 to end 2025 as trade 'uncertainty' subsides Wage growth is stuck in neutral as pay gains slow Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    25 分
  • Nearing the Market Exuberance Cycle
    2025/07/24
    In the midst of another all-time market high, Doug and Greg discuss the potential for a new cycle of exuberance driven by IPOs. They delve into the significant market cap of tech giants like Nvidia and Microsoft, the incredible impact of AI on GDP growth and economic resilience, and the opportunities for small and mid-cap stocks. They also cover trade agreements, the relationship between interest rates and valuation, and how rate cuts could affect the economy. Key Takeaways [00:16] - Is the IPO window about to open again? [05:25] - The incredible (economy-saving?) impact of AI [06:08] - Will we see a resurgence for small and mid-cap stocks? [11:58] - Macroeconomics and trade agreements [14:47] - Speculating on the Fed Chair spat and interest rates View Transcript Links The market cap weighting of Nvidia and Microsoft in the S&P 500 is 15% AI Capex is Eating the Economy Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    22 分
  • Jamie Dimon, Private Credit, and Long-Term Inflation
    2025/07/17
    The Stokes Brothers explore the rise of private credit as a trending asset class, its risks and rewards, and the implications of JP Morgan's $50 billion investment into the space. They also discuss the Fed Chair tit-for-tat, why we need an independent, formulaic process for setting rates, and the long-term outlook on inflation and housing. Key Takeaways [00:00] - Jamie Dimon & private credit [04:39] - What is the risk in the private credit market? [11:31] - Municipal bonds vs. private credit for taxable investors [16:06] - How the news out of DC is affecting the market [22:13] - A long-term look at housing and inflation [17:13] - Interest rates, inflation, and Fed Chair spats View Transcript Links Jamie Dimon Says Private Credit Is Dangerous—and He Wants JPMorgan to Get In on It Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    28 分
  • Market Concentration, Tech Domination
    2025/07/10
    Greg and Doug reflect on the recent tragedy in Texas before diving into the current state of the markets with a focus on the rise of tech giants like NVIDIA and their outsized impact. They explore big tech’s market concentration, productivity gains from AI, the IPO landscape, and improving public sentiment. They also detail real-time inflation, interest rates, and Fed Chair drama. Key Takeaways [00:00] - Reflecting on the tragedy in Texas [02:10] - NVIDIA tops $4 trillion in market cap (larger than all of Germany!) [07:49] - Market concentration: AI company domination [10:57] - AI bubble and IPOs [14:58] - Vibe check: public perception and optimism [17:13] - Interest rates, inflation, and Fed Chair spats View Transcript Links NVIDIA's annualized revenue per unit CIVIQS - National economic optimism poll The Return of ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.
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    28 分
  • Celebrating the 4th With Market Recovery Fireworks
    2025/07/02
    Happy Independence Week! We begin this week’s pod by discussing the remarkable recovery of the S&P 500, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a steady, long-term investment strategy. With that in mind, we’ll examine a study that demonstrates how dollar cost averaging outperforms trying to time the market perfectly. We also talk about the performance of international markets, bond returns, productivity from AI, and continue our call for Fed rate cuts. Key Takeaways [00:15]: American excellence: market recovery and military might [07:55]: Dollar cost averaging vs market timing [12:07]: It’s the allocators’ year! [17:05]: All eyes on the Fed View Transcript Links A 2-month rally pushed the stock market to record highs The last article you will ever need to read on market timing Productivity Gains Are Coming Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    24 分
  • Robert Watson On The Car Business: Yesterday, Today, & Tomorrow
    2025/06/25
    Greg and Doug Stokes interview Robert Watson, a veteran of the car business and former owner of Watson Quality Ford in Jackson, Mississippi. Robert shares his journey in the automotive industry, starting from his father's legacy to his own experiences in building a successful dealership. The conversation covers the evolution of car sales, the impact of the internet on customer interactions, the challenges of vehicle financing, and the future of electric vehicles and autonomous driving. Robert also reflects on the nostalgia and artistry of classic cars and the changing landscape of dealerships, emphasizing the importance of customer relationships for potential industry growth. Key Takeaways [00:17] - Introduction to Robert Watson and his family’s legacy [04:03] - Growing up in the car business [07:10] - Building relationships and strategies for success in sales [09:36] - How to be profitable: dealership operations and cost controls [14:04] - The evolution of car sales and customer interactions [17:12] - The changing landscape of vehicle financing/affordability [24:53] - The future of electric vehicles and autonomous driving [32:36] - Nostalgia for classic cars and their artistry and value [42:15] - The Future of dealerships and opportunities for growth View Transcript Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    48 分
  • Beating The Drum For Long-Term, Diversified Strategies
    2025/06/18
    While we await updated Fed Day data, we renew our call for the Fed to cut rates, discuss the muted market response to international conflicts, and examine the important role of bonds in providing stability in investment portfolios. We also talk about Vanguard's less-than-stellar market forecast as we continue to stress the importance of maintaining a diversified, long-term investment approach Key Takeaways [00:17] - It’s time for the Fed to cut rates [04:07] - The market reacts to Israel, Iran, and oil [13:35] - Fools errands: forecasts & short-term strategies [22:56] - The role of bonds in investment portfolios View Transcript Links Around 26% of the world’s oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Markets NOT viewing Israel/Iran as safe haven event, but a crude oil supply shock story. Vanguard forecasts US stocks to return 3.9% annually over the next decade. Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
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    27 分