Fantasy Football Draft Strategies: Navigating RB Turmoil and WR Shakeups
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Fantasy Football Draft Strategies: Navigating RB Turmoil and WR Shakeups
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The running back conversation continues to shift, with analysts from ESPN warning that James Cook could be a major regression candidate this year. Cook exploded for 18 total touchdowns in 2024, which was far beyond his prior production, and with Josh Allen still dominating goal-line work and Ray Davis poised to take on a larger role, the sustainability of Cook’s scoring is in doubt. The lesson for drafters is to be cautious with running backs who far exceed their career norms in one season, as touchdown rates are particularly volatile. Meanwhile, the RB market is flush with notable free agents including Kyren Williams, Jaylen Warren, Najee Harris, Austin Ekeler, and Breece Hall. FantasyPros notes that targeting running backs in quality offenses and focusing on ambiguous backfields often yields mid-round values, so listeners should keep an eye on situations where there isn’t a clear starter or where a pass-catching back could emerge as a breakout performer.
Wide receiver rankings are also in flux. DJ Moore’s fantasy outlook is complicated by the influx of new weapons to the Bears’ offense, including rookie tight end Colston Loveland and receiver Luther Burden III. While there’s hope that Moore could thrive under new offensive coordinator Ben Johnson, the greater talent distribution could lead to a more balanced—if less predictable—target share. In Jacksonville, rookie Brian Thomas Jr. is quickly climbing up draft boards after a strong finish to last season. Pro Football Focus highlights how Thomas was third among all wideouts in fantasy points over the final seven weeks of 2024, making him a clear league-winner candidate with top-12 potential at his position.
Injury news continues to have a major impact on fantasy planning. According to ESPN, Christian McCaffrey’s outlook remains uncertain after a lost 2024 season to Achilles problems, with questions swirling about his recovery and the potential for age-related decline. Listeners should weigh the obvious league-winning upside with the considerable risk. In Carolina, Jonathon Brooks is already ruled out for the entire 2025 season after re-tearing his ACL, so fantasy managers can safely take him off draft boards this year. San Francisco’s Brandon Aiyuk, recovering from ACL and MCL surgery, may start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list, but historical trends suggest he could be a late-season value pick if he returns to form.
Quarterback situations are also changing. Brock Purdy’s minor elbow injury is not expected to impact his role with the 49ers, and he projects as a low-end QB1. On the other hand, Deshaun Watson’s Achilles re-tear means he’s likely to miss the entire 2025 season, leaving the Browns in search of a new quarterback—likely impacting the fantasy prospects for all Browns skill players.
As rankings continue to update in response to injury updates, depth chart clarifications, and ADP shifts, listeners should stay active and adaptable, recognizing that young breakout candidates and veterans returning from injury or facing competition can see their draft positions swing wildly right up to opening kickoff.
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