Welcome back to China Tariff News and Tracker. Today is Friday, July 11, 2025, and there’s been another dramatic shift in the US-China tariff landscape under the Trump administration, with impacts rippling through global trade and economic policy.
Listeners, the headline: President Donald Trump has aggressively escalated tariffs on Chinese goods, with the most recent updates confirming that the reciprocal tariff rate on imports originating from China, Hong Kong, and Macau is now a staggering 125%. This figure includes a mix of baseline duties, Section 301 tariffs—which are either 7.5% or 25% depending on the product—a 20% IEEPA tariff, and the massive 125% reciprocal duty, effective immediately according to updates from Dimerco and Coppersmith Global Logistics. Importers are now facing a combined duty and tax burden that can exceed 132% for many high-tech and consumer categories.
This escalation follows a fierce tit-for-tat between Washington and Beijing. After the US imposed a 34% reciprocal tariff this spring, China matched it—and both sides have since ratcheted up their responses. By April, Trump had raised the US tariff on Chinese goods to 84%, and China responded by hiking duties on American goods to the same level. Not stopping there, Trump then bumped the tariff to 104%, China upped theirs to 84%, then 125%, and the US now sits at 145% baseline on some products, before settling at 125% for most categories. The Chinese Finance Ministry has publicly announced that further US increases “will no longer make economic sense and will become a joke in the history of world economy,” highlighting the breakdown in negotiations and the entrenched positions on both sides, as described in Wikipedia’s timeline of tariffs under the second Trump administration.
Another major focus is the new reciprocal tariff policy. While Trump paused most country-specific reciprocal tariffs for 90 days in April, China was excluded from this pause. As of today, most countries are enjoying a temporary 10% duty rate until August 1, but Chinese-origin goods are firmly locked into the higher 125% figure, and this will revert to 34% in mid-August only if the administration signals a change beforehand, as detailed by Dimerco and Coppersmith.
The economic and political reverberations are profound: US manufacturing and import sectors are warning of visible price hikes and shortages, and the Federal Reserve, the OECD, and the World Bank have all downgraded US growth projections. Meanwhile, China has responded to the US pressure by deepening trade ties within Asia, signing new agreements through its ASEAN partners and restricting the export of rare earth minerals, which threatens supply chains for critical high-tech goods.
Listeners, these developments are pushing the world economy into uncharted territory. The US sees this as a fight for fair trade and reciprocity, but allies and adversaries alike are restructuring trade relationships, and the true cost of this conflict remains to be seen.
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