『118: Don't put all your lettuce in one carriage』のカバーアート

118: Don't put all your lettuce in one carriage

118: Don't put all your lettuce in one carriage

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What does a failed lettuce shipment from a Steinbeck novel have to do with your AI strategy? Everything, as it turns out.


In this one, we're doing it, we're stepping into the world of AI adoption. I mean, surely someone should start talking about this AI thing?


Ahem.


We talk about why a bunch of what companies are doing with AI is ruinous efficiency theatre – and what they oughta learn from a hapless lettuce entrepreneur out of classic novel East of Eden.


We explore the parallels between infrastructure booms (railroads then, AI now), why 70% of companies see zero efficiency gains from AI, and how to avoid becoming the laughing stock of your industry.


  • The "lettuce man paradox" - when you're right but early, you're wrong
  • How 20% of bees ignore the waggle dance (and why you should too)
  • The antifragile barbell strategy: boring investments + wild experiments
  • Tom's "expert panel of dissenters" AI prompt that will tear your ideas apart (in the best way)
  • Why setting up a fence around a playground is more important than setting up goals and objectives
  • Container ships, steel plants, graphics chips and compute: what to do with what gets left behind after boom-bust cycles


References:


  • East of Eden by John Steinbeck
  • Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Dave Snowden's Ritual Dissent method https://cynefin.io/wiki/Ritual_dissent
  • Ken Stanley's Myth of the Objective (playground thinking) https://youtu.be/VDuF4onPmuE?si=4vEfNLBIZyaDvB4h
  • Strathern's reframing of Goodhart's Law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law
  • Adam Mastroianni (of Experimental History) Bag of words, have mercy on us https://www.experimental-history.com/p/bag-of-words-have-mercy-on-us
  • Episode 044: The one with the bees https://shows.acast.com/triggerstrategy/episodes/044-the-one-with-the-bees


For a copy of Tom's prompt, or with questions, comments, historical corrections or love notes, ping us at tentacles@crownandreach.com

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