
2025 6-23 Matters of Democracy Middle East Escalation and Domestic Unrest
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The most significant event reported is Donald Trump's order to destroy Iran's Uranium enrichment sites at Fordo (Fordow), Natanz, and Isfahan, carried out by B2 bombers delivering GBU-57 "Massive Ordnance Penetrator" (MOP) bombs. The long-term political impact and Iran's retaliation methods remain unknown.
NATO leaders are meeting to address challenges, primarily preventing Trump from undermining the alliance. Increased European defense spending, if not offset by new taxes, will require cutting social spending. To mitigate public discontent, much of the new defense budget will be spent in Europe.
Trump's Mistrust of DNI Tulsi Gabbard. Trump is increasingly consulting with CIA Director John Ratcliffe, an "intelligence professional" and former DNI under Trump v1.0, suggesting a bypass of Gabbard.
Struggles with Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" Speaker Mike Johnson's goal of passing Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 4th appears unlikely due to several legislative hurdles.
The Democratic Party primary for New York City mayor is described as a "complicated, unpredictable race" with a weak field of candidates and the potential for ranked-choice voting to be decisive.
ICE's Office of the Principal Legal Advisor is moving to dismiss asylum cases for individuals who presented themselves at ports of entry and requested asylum. This "trick" allows ICE to then place them in "expedited removal (ER)," a "fast-track to deportation" with "few rights." Unless individuals know to oppose the dismissal or request a "credible fear interview," they face quick deportation. This new behavior targets "people who entered the United States the 'right' way," contradicting promises from Trump and his supporters that they would not target such individuals.